New spectroscopic and polarimetric observations of the A0 supergiant HD 92207     

S. Hubrig  A. F. Kholtygin  M. Schller  R. I. Anderson  S. Saesen  J. F. Gonzlez  I. Ilyin  M. Briquet 《Astronomische Nachrichten》2015,336(2):168-177

Our recent search for the presence of a magnetic field in the bright early A‐type supergiant HD 92207 using FORS 2 in spectropolarimetric mode revealed the presence of a longitudinal magnetic field of the order of a few hundred Gauss. However, the definite confirmation of the magnetic nature of this object remained pending due to the detection of shortterm spectral variability probably affecting the position of line profiles in left‐ and right‐hand polarized spectra. We present new magnetic field measurements of HD 92207 obtained on three different epochs in 2013 and 2014 using FORS 2 in spectropolarimetric mode. A 3σ detection of the mean longitudinal magnetic field using the entire spectrum, 〈B_z〉_all = 104 ± 34 G, was achieved in observations obtained in 2014 January. At this epoch, the position of the spectral lines appeared stable. Our analysis of spectral line shapes recorded in opposite circularly polarized light, i.e. in light with opposite sense of rotation, reveals that line profiles in the light polarized in a certain direction appear slightly split. The mechanism causing such a behaviour in the circularly polarized light is currently unknown. Trying to settle the issue of short‐term variability, we searched for changes in the spectral line profiles on a time scale of 8–10 min using HARPS polarimetric spectra and on a time scale of 3–4 min using time series obtained with the CORALIE spectrograph. No significant variability was detected on these time scales during the epochs studied. (© 2015 WILEY‐VCH Verlag GmbH & Co. KGaA, Weinheim)  相似文献   

Holocene river and slope activity in the Visoko Basin,Bosnia‐Herzegovina – climate and land‐use effects     

S. DREIBRODT  C. LUBOS  R. HOFMANN  N. MÜLLER‐SCHEEßEL  I. RICHLING  O. NELLE  M. FUCHS  K. RASSMANN  Z. KUJUNDŽIĆ‐VEJZAGIĆ  H.‐R. BORK  J. MÜLLER 《第四纪科学杂志》2013,28(6):559-570

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Eemian and Early Weichselian environments in southern Sweden: a multi‐proxy study of till‐covered organic deposits from the Småland peneplain     

GEOFFREY LEMDAHL  ANNA BROSTRÖM  LARS HEDENÄS  KRISTINA ARVIDSSON  SOFIA HOLMGREN  MARIE‐JOSÉ GAILLARD  PER MÖLLER 《第四纪科学杂志》2013,28(7):705-719

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North Atlantic climate impact on early late‐glacial climate oscillations in the south‐eastern Alps inferred from a multi‐proxy lake sediment record     

Roland Schmidt  Kaarina Weckström  Stefan Lauterbach  Richard Tessadri  Kerstin Huber 《第四纪科学杂志》2012,27(1):40-50

High‐resolution multi‐proxy analyses of a sediment core section from Lake Jeserzersee (Saissersee) in the piedmont lobe of the Würmian Drau glacier (Carinthia, Austria) reveal pronounced climatic oscillations during the early late glacial (ca. 18.5–16.0k cal a BP). Diatom‐inferred epilimnetic summer water temperatures show a close correspondence with temperature reconstructions from the adjacent Lake Längsee record and, on a hemispheric scale, with fluctuations of ice‐rafted debris in the North Atlantic. This suggests that North Atlantic climate triggered summer climate variability in the Alps during the early late glacial. The expansion of pine (mainly dwarf pine) between ca. 18.5 and 18.1k cal a BP indicates warming during the so‐called ‘Längsee oscillation’. The subsequent stepwise climate deterioration between ca. 18.1 and 17.6k cal a BP culminated in a tripartite cold period between ca. 17.6 and 16.9k cal a BP with diatom‐inferred summer water temperatures 8.5–10 °C below modern values and a shift from wet to dry conditions. This period probably coincides with a major Alpine glacier advance termed the Gschnitz stadial. A warmer interval between ca. 16.9 and 16.4k cal a BP separates this cold phase from a second, shorter and less pronounced cold phase between ca. 16.4 and 16.0k cal a BP, which is thought to correlate with the Clavadel/Senders glacier advance in the Alps. The following temperature increase, coupled with wet (probably snow‐rich) conditions, caused the expansion of birch during the transition period to the late glacial interstadial. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   

初夏至盛夏东亚副热带西风急流变化与江淮出梅的关系          下载免费PDF全文

董丽娜  郭品文  张福颖   《大气科学学报》2010,33(1):74-81

利用1961—2005年逐候资料对东亚副热带西风急流初夏至盛夏变化与江淮出梅的关系进行了分析。结果表明,多年平均7月初夏至盛夏急流中心由西太平洋地区西跳至青藏高原的同时我国东部地区急流北跳至37.5°N以北,比梅雨结束早1候;急流北跳使得我国东部高空强辐散中心北移至华北地区,江淮地区上空辐散显著减弱,上升运动减弱,从而使得江淮梅雨结束,雨带北移;而急流中心的西跳仅使得我国东部地区高空辐散中心减弱,降水减弱,有利于雨带北移。我国东部急流北跳与江淮地区梅雨结束时间显著正相关,在北跳偏早(晚)年份梅雨结束早(晚),长江中下游地区降水偏少(多),而急流中心西跳早晚对我国华北北部地区和淮河附近地区降水有较大影响。可见,我国东部急流北跳与梅雨结束关系密切,可作为梅雨结束的先期信号。  相似文献   

Rhomboidal versus triangular spherical harmonic truncation: Some verification statistics     

Roger Daley  Yvon Bourassa 《大气与海洋》2013,51(2):187-196

Abstract

In the construction of global primitive equation models, based on the spherical harmonic method, two forms of truncation are in general use. Theoretical considerations suggest the triangular truncation method is superior, but the easily coded rhomboidal truncation is more commonly used. A verification experiment employing the Canadian Operational Spectral Model has been performed to determine if the theoretical superiority of the triangular truncation can be realized in practice. It was found that at least in the restricted case of extra‐tropical forecasts of less than 48 h, that the two truncation methods produced forecasts of equivalent accuracy.  相似文献   

基于卷积神经网络的雷电临近预警模型     

张烨方  冯真祯  刘冰 《气象》2021,(3):373-380

从研究人工智能雷电临近预警模型的目的出发,以卷积神经网络模型为基础,结合多个时间序列的雷达产品(组合反射率、液态水含量、回波顶高)与闪电数据,对雷电临近预报方法进行基于卷积神经网络结构的应用,以福建省2017—2018年雷达、闪电数据为样本完成了模型的训练与预测研究。训练结果显示,15~30 min模型训练样本测试集准确率为0.7985;选取福建省2019年20个雷电过程验证分析表明,15~30 min模型对动力抬升型雷电过程预警TS评分为0.716,夏季局地热雷暴预警TS评分为0.694,与常规采用雷达、闪电阈值控制的雷电预警算法相比,准确率有一定的提高,具有一定的实践意义。  相似文献   

基于智能物联网技术的天津城市积水监测预警系统     

侯天宇  梁好  霍凯  赵敏  陈子煊  张春莉  苑超 《气象研究与应用》2021,(1):85-89

通过智能物联网技术实时获取积水监测实况数据,利用天津市气象精细化格点预报产品和城市自动雨量观测站实况数据,以机器学习、神经网络模型和天津市城市内涝风险等级划分原理为基础,研究基于用户实时位置的城市内涝预报预警技术,研发天津市城市自动化积水监测预警系统。结果表明,该系统具备一定的城市内涝风险监测预警预报能力,并在2018—2020年多次重大天气过程中应用,积水深度预报结果与监测结果基本一致,应用数据表明验证结果良好,系统可以为政府防灾减灾决策、指挥调度提供精准、及时的气象数据支撑。  相似文献   

FY-3E: The First Operational Meteorological Satellite Mission in an Early Morning Orbit     

Peng ZHANG  Xiuqing HU  Qifeng LU  Aijun ZHU  Manyun LIN  Ling SUN  Lin CHEN  Na XU 《大气科学进展》2022,39(1):1-1

Fengyun-3 E(FY-3E),the world’s first early-morning-orbit meteorological satellite for civil use,was launched successfully at the Jiuquan Satellite Launch Center on 5 July 2021.The FY-3E satellite will fill the vacancy of the global early-morning-orbit satellite observation,working together with the FY-3C and FY-3D satellites to achieve the data coverage of early morning,morning,and afternoon orbits.The combination of these three satellites will provide global data coverage for numerical weather prediction(NWP)at 6-hour intervals,effectively improving the accuracy and time efficiency of global NWP,which is of great significance to perfect the global earth observing system.In this article,the background and meteorological requirements for the early-morning-orbit satellite are reviewed,and the specifications of the FY-3E satellite,as well as the characteristics of the onboard instrumentation for earth observations,are also introduced.In addition,the ground segment and the retrieved geophysical products are also presented.It is believed that the NWP communities will significantly benefit from an optimal temporal distribution of observations provided by the early morning,mid-morning,and afternoon satellite missions.Further benefits are expected in numerous applications such as the monitoring of severe weather/climate events,the development of improved sampling designs of the diurnal cycle for accurate climate data records,more efficient monitoring of air quality by thermal infrared remote sensing,and the quasicontinuous monitoring of the sun for space weather and climate.  相似文献   

华南复杂地形下GRAPES_Meso3km对流尺度模式前汛期精细化降水预报评估          下载免费PDF全文

陈静  庞波  吴政秋  陈法敬  陈雨潇  刘昕  马雅楠 《大气科学学报》2022,45(1):99-111

为深入认识GRAPES_Meso(Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System)3 km对流尺度区域模式对华南前汛期精细化降水的预报性能,为模式改进及业务应用提供参考依据,利用广东省86个站点逐小时观测降水资料和国家气象信息中心多源融合降水资料,针对广东省复杂地形特点,结合距海岸线的远近及站点地形特点,将86个站划分为沿海东部、沿海西部和内陆地区三个子区域,采用二分类降水预报检验方法,定量评估了2020年5月18日—6月18日华南前汛期降水预报效果。结果显示,GRAPES_Meso 3 km模式精细化降水预报技巧受广东复杂地形影响较大,广东沿海东部和内陆地区24 h时累积降水的小雨、中雨、大雨量级预报成功指数(Threat Score,TS)、公平成功指数(Equitable Threat Score,ETS)评分高于沿海西部地区,尽管暴雨预报评分具有此相同特征,但三个子区域的暴雨预报评分总体较低;从3 h累积降水预报评分看,沿海东部、沿海西部及内陆地区等三个子区域存在明显的日变化特征,但是沿海东部及西部与内陆地区表现有所不同,沿海东部和西部降水预报评分夜间较低(预报偏差偏高),白天相对较高(预报偏差偏低),而内陆地区则是夜间较高(预报偏差偏低),白天相对较低(预报偏差偏高)。沿海西部预报评分相对较低的原因是由于检验时段内广东地区存在一个弱的风切变,而沿海西部大部分地区正好处于切变线南侧的温度高值区控制,但模式模拟该区域的日平均温度较实况偏低,导致沿海西部模式预报降水空报较多,降低其降水预报技巧。  相似文献